CBRE EA BLOG Deconstructing CRE

  • Forecasting: An Ongoing Discussion

    May 10, 2018, 10:23 AM by Tim Savage
    Our continuing discussion regarding the informed judgment and science of forecasting.
  • Forecasting

    Jan 3, 2018, 17:39 PM by Tim Savage
    To paraphrase George Box, all forecasts are wrong, but some forecasts are useful.
  • A classification of macroeconomics tools

    Apr 12, 2017, 09:47 AM by Tim Savage
    Olivier Blanchard, Professor Emeritus of MIT's economics department, makes a very important point: different tasks require different types of tools.
  • Big data and CRE

    Mar 14, 2017, 12:08 PM by Tim Savage
    CBRE has a lot of proprietary data sitting in data "puddles." Big data is creating a data "lake" from those puddles by linking data feeds, and then using the power of machine learning to derive insights for our clients. Our just-introduced Live, Work, Play (LWP) Index is an example of a big data exercise in CRE.
  • Higher interest rates a risk for CRE values, recession or not

    Mar 8, 2017, 11:51 AM by Serguei Chervachidze
    With the new administration at the reins and macroeconomic indicators sending mixed signals, investors are wondering what the future promises for the direction of the U.S. economy commercial real estate. This seems to be certain in investors’ minds: interest rates are likely to increase—at least in the medium term, if not in the long run. What would such increases imply for CRE, and particularly for CRE values?
  • Apartment rents: Unpacking the statistics

    Feb 9, 2017, 08:22 AM by Matthew Vance
    New York City drives a lot of trends, including our calculation of rent growth for the Sum of Markets. Year-over-year effective rent growth was 0.2% in Q4; though it's meant to represent the national trend, for most of us, that figure doesn’t exactly fit our experience. So, how did we arrive at 0.2%?
  • How resilient are U.S. office markets to a recession?

    Jan 18, 2017, 09:24 AM by Serguei Chervachidze
    Whether it’s a year or eight years away, investors are wondering what the next recession will mean for CRE performance: Will certain markets or asset types be more immune to its negative effects than others? How will markets differ in their speed to recovery? In a recent study, we examined the effects of a major 2008-type recession on rents and vacancy in the 10 largest U.S. office markets, finding major response differences.
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