• Debt funding gap arises in multifamily sector

    Oct 26, 2023, 12:42 PM by Michael Leahy
    We’ve updated our funding gap estimates in light of the dramatic run-up in yields since June. The funding gap for office has now increased to $82.9 billion, and a $21.7 billion funding gap emerged for multifamily properties.

  • A Harry Markowitz tribute: Modern Portfolio Theory and the case for U.S. real estate

    Aug 1, 2023, 13:51 PM by Matt Mowell
    The headlines say it's time to divest U.S. commercial real estate. But Modern Portfolio Theory finds that the optimal commercial real estate portfolio would include more than 50% exposure to U.S. real estate with the balance favoring APAC.

  • The Office Sector Debt-Funding Gap is Likely to Increase

    Jun 8, 2023, 13:50 PM by Michael Leahy
    Between 2023-2025, CBRE Econometric Advisors (CBRE EA) forecasts office owners will face a financing gap of $72.7 billion (26.4% of the lending volume originated in 2018-2020). This will likely lead to distress for some property investors and force others to inject more cash into their properties.

  • The 1990s offer solace from today’s office pains

    Jun 7, 2023, 09:15 AM by Matt Mowell
    The office market has been on its back before. Past experience tells us the preconditions to recovery include a throttling back of the new supply pipeline and painful distress sales that provide necessary price signals.

  • 24/7 Neighborhoods Offer Reprieve for Beleaguered Urban Office Markets

    Apr 17, 2023, 09:40 AM by Matt Mowell
    ‘Live-Work-Shop’ neighborhoods are providing a silver lining for the beleaguered office sector. Many prominent Live-Work-Shop neighborhoods are outperforming the broader market in which they reside.

  • The Office Sector Debt-Funding Gap

    Dec 21, 2022, 10:58 AM by Michael Leahy
    The United States office sector faces a large aggregate future funding gap in the near-term due to lower LTVs and substantial value erosion.

  • Is it a Flight to Quality or Flight from Commodity?

    Dec 7, 2022, 09:28 AM by Stefan Weiss
    Class A-, not Class B or C, office buildings comprise more than 70% (by sq. ft.) of office buildings with the greatest increase in vacant sq. ft. from Q1 2020 to Q2 2022.


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