• Suburban shopping is hip again (data available)

    Jul 12, 2023, 15:40 PM by Matt Mowell
    For the first time since 2006 the retail availability rate across America’s central business districts (CBD) today is higher than in the suburbs. Chalk it up to another enduring effect of the rise of remote work.
  • Multifamily vacancy poised to rise in all major markets (data)

    Jun 21, 2023, 13:07 PM by Nathan Adkins
    Multifamily vacancy rates, currently hovering near pre-COVID levels, are poised to increase. A moderate recession—which we believe will begin later this year—will temper household formation and lead to higher vacancy in every major market.
  • Multifamily vacancy poised to rise in all major markets (data)

    Jun 21, 2023, 13:07 PM by Dennis Schoenmaker
    Multifamily vacancy rates, currently hovering near pre-COVID levels, are poised to increase. A moderate recession—which we believe will begin later this year—will temper household formation and lead to higher vacancy in every major market.
  • Multifamily vacancy poised to rise in all major markets

    Jun 21, 2023, 13:05 PM by Dennis Schoenmaker
    Multifamily vacancy rates, currently hovering near pre-COVID levels, are poised to increase. A moderate recession—which we believe will begin later this year—will temper household formation and lead to higher vacancy in every major market.
  • Industrial stock clustered around highway ramps in major logistics hubs

    Jun 21, 2023, 09:41 AM by Matt Mowell
    It is widely believed that Industrial real estate clusters along highways. We analyzed metro Atlanta, an important logistics hub serviced by multiple interstates and state highways, to test this hypothesis.
  • REIT valuations signal lower private asset values ahead

    Jun 13, 2023, 15:37 PM by Matt Mowell
    Transaction activity is down due to wide bid-ask spreads. Meanwhile, REIT implied cap rates have increased sharply, particularly for office space, as manifested in significant discounts to NAV. But a few distressed office asset sales suggest that REITs are on to something, and private-market devaluation will catch up soon.
  • REIT valuations signal lower private asset values ahead (data available)

    Jun 13, 2023, 15:37 PM by Matt Mowell
    Transaction activity is down due to wide bid-ask spreads. Meanwhile, REIT implied cap rates have increased sharply, particularly for office space, as manifested in significant discounts to NAV.
  • The 1990s offer solace from today’s office pains

    Jun 7, 2023, 10:15 AM by Matt Mowell
    The office market has been on its back before. Past experience tells us the preconditions to recovery include a throttling back of the new supply pipeline and painful distress sales that provide necessary price signals.
  • The 1990s offer solace from today’s office pains (data available)

    Jun 7, 2023, 10:14 AM by Matt Mowell
    The office market has been on its back before. Past experience tells us the preconditions to recovery include a throttling back of the new supply pipeline and painful distress sales that provide necessary price signals.
  • In-migration resumes in some urban centers

    Jun 1, 2023, 15:33 PM by Matt Mowell
    Migration—both domestic and international—is the most important factor influencing population change within American communities. New Census Bureau data shows how migration has impacted population change in U.S. counties.


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