• Suburban shopping is hip again

    Jul 12, 2023, 14:40 PM by Matt Mowell
    For the first time since 2006 the retail availability rate across America’s central business districts (CBD) today is higher than in the suburbs. Chalk it up to another enduring effect of the rise of remote work.
  • Rental housing could benefit from a softer for-sale market

    Jun 27, 2023, 14:24 PM by Jing Ren
    With record home prices and rising interest rates, more and more people have chosen to rent. It is likely that mortgage rates will ease in coming quarters providing some relief to homebuyers.
  • Multifamily vacancy poised to rise in all major markets

    Jun 21, 2023, 12:05 PM by Dennis Schoenmaker
    Multifamily vacancy rates, currently hovering near pre-COVID levels, are poised to increase. A moderate recession—which we believe will begin later this year—will temper household formation and lead to higher vacancy in every major market.
  • Industrial stock clustered around highway ramps in major logistics hubs

    Jun 21, 2023, 08:41 AM by Matt Mowell
    It is widely believed that Industrial real estate clusters along highways. We analyzed metro Atlanta, an important logistics hub serviced by multiple interstates and state highways, to test this hypothesis.
  • REIT valuations signal lower private asset values ahead

    Jun 13, 2023, 14:37 PM by Matt Mowell
    Transaction activity is down due to wide bid-ask spreads. Meanwhile, REIT implied cap rates have increased sharply, particularly for office space, as manifested in significant discounts to NAV. But a few distressed office asset sales suggest that REITs are on to something, and private-market devaluation will catch up soon.
  • The Office Sector Debt-Funding Gap is Likely to Increase

    Jun 8, 2023, 13:50 PM by Michael Leahy
    Between 2023-2025, CBRE Econometric Advisors (CBRE EA) forecasts office owners will face a financing gap of $72.7 billion (26.4% of the lending volume originated in 2018-2020). This will likely lead to distress for some property investors and force others to inject more cash into their properties.
  • The 1990s offer solace from today’s office pains

    Jun 7, 2023, 09:15 AM by Matt Mowell
    The office market has been on its back before. Past experience tells us the preconditions to recovery include a throttling back of the new supply pipeline and painful distress sales that provide necessary price signals.
  • In-migration resumes in some urban centers

    Jun 1, 2023, 14:33 PM by Matt Mowell
    Migration—both domestic and international—is the most important factor influencing population change within American communities. New Census Bureau data shows how migration has impacted population change in U.S. counties.
  • Don't fret the uptick in industrial availability just yet

    May 24, 2023, 11:33 AM by Matt Mowell
    The industrial sector saw a 70-basis-point increase in availability in the first quarter. Nevertheless, availability should remain below historic norms for the foreseeable future, a fact that distinguishes industrial from most other property types.


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